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What is Hypothesis Testing Essentially?

Statistical hypothesis testing is a method of making statistical decisions using accurate experimental data. A result is deemed statistically significant if it is unlikely to have had occurred by chance. The decisions are almost always taken using null-hypothesis tests, that is, ones that answer the question:

Assuming the null hypothesis to be true, what is the exact probability of observing a value for the statistical test that is at least as extreme as the “value in question” that was actually observed?

A statistical hypothesis testing includes the five following steps:

  1. Declare a null hypothesis (H0) and an alternative hypothesis (H1).
  2. Determine test statistic T.
  3. Determine the distribution of test statistics.
  4. Find the value of T on the data observed. Calculate the corresponding p-value.
  5. Determine if the p-value is less than a certain threshold (using 0.05 for the examples below). If so, reject H0.
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  1. What is the Null Hypothesis?

If we trace back the history of science, null hypotheses are always accepted as facts. Some examples of null hypotheses that are usually accepted as being true are:

  • The DNA is a double helix structure.
  • There are 8 planets in our solar system (excluding Pluto).
  1. What is a Hypothesis Statement?

Any hypothesis is an educated guess about something in the environment around us. It should be testable, by either observation or through experimentation. If we are to propose a hypothesis, it is customary to write a statement. The statement should look something like this:

“If we … (do anything to a certain independent variable)….then (this will happen to the dependent variable).”

For example:

  • If we (decrease the amount of water given to the herbs) then (the herbs will increase in their size).
  • If we (give patients counselling in addition to medication) then (their depression scale in all will decrease).
  • If we (take exams at noon instead of 7) then (our student test scores will improve).
  1. What Is p-Value?

In statistics, p-value is the probability of obtaining results at the very least as extreme as the observed results of the said statistical hypothesis test, assuming the null hypothesis to be correct. The p-value is used as alternative to rejection points to give the smallest level of significance at which the null hypothesis would be rejected. A smaller p-value tends to mean that there is more substantial evidence in favour of the alternative hypothesis.

  1. What is the Bonferroni Test?

Bonferroni test is a multiple comparison test used in statistical analysis.  It is essentially:

  • Bonferroni test is a statistical test used to reduce the instances of false positives.
  • In particular, Bonferroni designed an adjustment to stop data from incorrectly appearing to be statistically significant.
  • A limitation of Bonferroni correction to keep in mind is that it may lead analysts to mix the actual valid results.
  1. What is Bayesian Hypothesis Testing?

Bayesian hypothesis testing helps answer the following question: Can the results from any test or survey be repeated?

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